Rare disease paradox
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Due DateMay 25, 2:59 AM EDT
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Due May 25, 2:59 AM EDT
There's a rare disease that occurs in 1% of the population. There's a test that yields positive result on 99% of ill people, and false positive on 2% of healthy people. The test shows positive result on a patient. What's the probability that the patient does not have the disease? Enter the irreducible fraction below (e.g., 13/28):